Ivy

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$26.61

38.02 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

90.51%

8,930 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

90.30%±27.321,065 openings

7 days

87.96%±10.637,422 openings

30 days

90.51%±9.888,930 openings

since tracking started

90.51%±9.888,930 openings

62.5%90.5%118.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,065	90.30%±27.3	—	sample
7d	7,422	87.96%±10.6	—	sample
30d	8,930	90.51%±9.88	—	sample
All	8,930	90.51%±9.88	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$26.6138.02 coins$3,2454,635 coins121.9x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryKennyP$26.6138.02 coins$3,2454,635 coins121.9x5d

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2$26.6138.02 coins$2,6793,827 coins100.7x5d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2$26.6138.02 coins$1,7122,445 coins64.31x15h

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2$26.6138.02 coins$1,7122,445 coins64.31x2d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2$26.6138.02 coins$1,7122,445 coins64.31x4d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2$26.6138.02 coins$1,7122,445 coins64.31x7d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2$26.6138.02 coins$1,7122,445 coins64.31x8d

P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified$26.6138.02 coins$1,2651,807 coins47.53x1h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AUG | Carved Jade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$26.6138.02 coins$8.5512.21 coins0.32x1h

M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$26.6138.02 coins$0.480.68 coins0.02x1h

M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn)weapon · RestrictedLUFFFFYYYYYY$26.6138.02 coins$0.480.68 coins0.02x1h

M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$26.6138.02 coins$0.480.68 coins0.02x1h

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Well-Worn)gloves · Extraordinary$26.6138.02 coins$39.2156.02 coins1.47x1h

M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$26.6138.02 coins$0.480.68 coins0.02x1h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,245 (121.9x)