Jack-o-lantern

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$18.10
25.86 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
100.02%
14.6K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
107.40%±29.781,816 openings
7 days
96.41%±10.7811K openings
30 days
100.02%±9.8714.6K openings
since tracking started
100.02%±9.8714.6K openings
77.0%107.5%138.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,816107.40%±29.8—sample
7d11K96.41%±10.8—sample
30d14.6K100.02%±9.87—sample
All14.6K100.02%±9.87—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedSneakyPeakyV2$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedshubidibap$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x
Negev | Mjölnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$18.1025.86 coins$2,0102,872 coins111.0x

Latest dropsnewest first

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$18.1025.86 coins$0.120.17 coins0.01x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$18.1025.86 coins$0.120.17 coins0.01x
P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$18.1025.86 coins$1.582.25 coins0.09x
G3SG1 | Orange Kimono (Factory New)weapon · consumer$18.1025.86 coins$3.935.61 coins0.22x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$18.1025.86 coins$0.120.17 coins0.01x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$18.1025.86 coins$0.120.17 coins0.01x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$18.1025.86 coins$0.120.17 coins0.01x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$18.1025.86 coins$0.120.17 coins0.01x
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$18.1025.86 coins$0.120.17 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,010 (111.0x)