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Jelly

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2,520.46
3,601 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.53%
36 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
36 openings · below min
30 days
36 openings · below min
since tracking started
36 openings · below min
51.5%83.5%115.5%

Small sample. 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3683.53%±31.4—sample
30d3683.53%±31.4—sample
All3683.53%±31.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$2,5203,601 coins$7,20710,295 coins2.86x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$2,5203,601 coins$7,20710,295 coins2.86x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · RubyMrTree$2,5203,601 coins$7,20710,295 coins2.86x
Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$2,5203,601 coins$6,7759,679 coins2.69x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$2,5203,601 coins$5,8078,295 coins2.30x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$2,5203,601 coins$5,8078,295 coins2.30x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendarymoef-df7d7d$2,5203,601 coins$5,0857,264 coins2.02x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendaryMrTree$2,5203,601 coins$5,0857,264 coins2.02x
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$2,5203,601 coins$3,8655,521 coins1.53x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014sticker · highswerve$2,5203,601 coins$2,6843,834 coins1.06x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$2,5203,601 coins$5,8078,295 coins2.30x
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$2,5203,601 coins$171244 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified$2,5203,601 coins$1,0351,479 coins0.41x
Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$2,5203,601 coins$3,8655,521 coins1.53x
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$2,5203,601 coins$288412 coins0.11x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendarymoef-df7d7d$2,5203,601 coins$5,0857,264 coins2.02x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$2,5203,601 coins$7,20710,295 coins2.86x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$2,5203,601 coins$7,20710,295 coins2.86x
★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · rare$2,5203,601 coins$471672 coins0.19x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified$2,5203,601 coins$39.0755.82 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,207 (2.86x)