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KevinLowRoller

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$38.18
54.54 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.06%
7,888 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
531 openings · below min
7 days
87.00%±14.805,652 openings
30 days
88.06%±13.867,888 openings
since tracking started
88.06%±13.867,888 openings
60.5%93.5%126.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h53193.26%±32.4—sample
7d5,65287.00%±14.8—sample
30d7,88888.06%±13.9—sample
All7,88888.06%±13.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$38.1854.54 coins$12.3K17,533 coins321.5x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$38.1854.54 coins$12.3K17,533 coins321.5x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$38.1854.54 coins$1,9742,821 coins51.72x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$38.1854.54 coins$1,9742,821 coins51.72x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$38.1854.54 coins$1,9742,821 coins51.72x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$38.1854.54 coins$1,9742,821 coins51.72x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$38.1854.54 coins$1,9742,821 coins51.72x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$38.1854.54 coins$1,7902,558 coins46.90x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knifejack.com$38.1854.54 coins$1,7902,558 coins46.90x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$38.1854.54 coins$1,7902,558 coins46.90x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$38.1854.54 coins$135193 coins3.55x
Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Remarkable$38.1854.54 coins$0.070.1 coins0.00x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$38.1854.54 coins$0.360.51 coins0.01x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$38.1854.54 coins$0.360.51 coins0.01x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$38.1854.54 coins$0.360.51 coins0.01x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertMaster Splinter$38.1854.54 coins$46.0065.72 coins1.20x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$38.1854.54 coins$0.360.51 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Remarkable$38.1854.54 coins$0.070.1 coins0.00x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$38.1854.54 coins$0.360.51 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$38.1854.54 coins$7881,126 coins20.65x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $12.3K (321.5x)