Lit Up

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$42.99
61.42 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
95.02%
409 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
26 openings · below min
7 days
289 openings · below min
30 days
409 openings · below min
since tracking started
409 openings · below min
58.0%116.0%174.0%

Small sample. 409 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h26115.93%±57.2—sample
7d28991.15%±19.2—sample
30d40995.02%±18.5—sample
All40995.02%±18.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New)gloves · legendary$42.9961.42 coins$8141,163 coins18.93x
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert$42.9961.42 coins$522746 coins12.14x

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$42.9961.42 coins$58.4183.44 coins1.36x
P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$42.9961.42 coins$4.216.01 coins0.10x
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$42.9961.42 coins$220314 coins5.11x
Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$42.9961.42 coins$87.48125 coins2.03x
P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$42.9961.42 coins$4.216.01 coins0.10x
Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$42.9961.42 coins$18.3926.27 coins0.43x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$42.9961.42 coins$58.4183.44 coins1.36x
P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$42.9961.42 coins$4.216.01 coins0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $814 (18.93x)