Lockdown

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3,511.66
5,017 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
112.15%
118 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
68 openings · below min
30 days
118 openings · below min
since tracking started
118 openings · below min
70.0%209.0%348.0%

Small sample. 118 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h24214.31%±132.9—sample
7d68127.31%±56.8—sample
30d118112.15%±37.0—sample
All118112.15%±37.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$3,5125,017 coins$35.4K50,514 coins10.07x
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$3,5125,017 coins$31.1K44,452 coins8.86x
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$3,5125,017 coins$31.1K44,452 coins8.86x
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$3,5125,017 coins$31.1K44,452 coins8.86x
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$3,5125,017 coins$31.1K44,452 coins8.86x
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$3,5125,017 coins$31.1K44,452 coins8.86x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$3,5125,017 coins$18.2K25,990 coins5.18x
AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$3,5125,017 coins$11.3K16,164 coins3.22x
AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$3,5125,017 coins$11.3K16,164 coins3.22x
AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$3,5125,017 coins$11.3K16,164 coins3.22x

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $35.4K (10.07x)