Loco

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$39.79
56.84 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.67%
9,317 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
754 openings · below min
7 days
93.04%±9.837,340 openings
30 days
93.67%±8.699,317 openings
since tracking started
93.67%±8.699,317 openings
56.5%83.0%109.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h75483.13%±25.8—sample
7d7,34093.04%±9.83—sample
30d9,31793.67%±8.69—sample
All9,31793.67%±8.69—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$39.7956.84 coins$2,1963,137 coins55.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$39.7956.84 coins$2,1963,137 coins55.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$39.7956.84 coins$2,1963,137 coins55.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$39.7956.84 coins$2,1963,137 coins55.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$39.7956.84 coins$2,1963,137 coins55.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$39.7956.84 coins$2,1963,137 coins55.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$39.7956.84 coins$2,1963,137 coins55.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$39.7956.84 coins$2,1963,137 coins55.20x
★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · covert$39.7956.84 coins$2,1963,137 coins55.20x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Ouchie (Foil)sticker · Exotic$39.7956.84 coins$3.004.28 coins0.08x
Sticker | Seek & Destroysticker · High Grade$39.7956.84 coins$1.341.91 coins0.03x
Sticker | Seek & Destroysticker · High Grade$39.7956.84 coins$1.341.91 coins0.03x
Sticker | Seek & Destroysticker · High GradeSzabo$39.7956.84 coins$1.341.91 coins0.03x
Sticker | Zeusedsticker · Rare$39.7956.84 coins$0.240.34 coins0.01x
Sticker | Seek & Destroysticker · High Grade$39.7956.84 coins$1.341.91 coins0.03x
Sticker | Seek & Destroysticker · High Grade$39.7956.84 coins$1.341.91 coins0.03x
★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$39.7956.84 coins$425608 coins10.69x
Sticker | Zeusedsticker · Rare$39.7956.84 coins$0.240.34 coins0.01x
Sticker | Zeusedsticker · Rareswerve$39.7956.84 coins$0.240.34 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,196 (55.20x)