Make That Bread

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$11.56
16.51 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.89%
582 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
35 openings · below min
7 days
434 openings · below min
30 days
582 openings · below min
since tracking started
582 openings · below min
46.0%76.0%106.0%

Small sample. 582 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3574.79%±28.0—sample
7d43496.37%±8.98—sample
30d58291.89%±7.68—sample
All58291.89%±7.68—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Flame Tier6 (Holo)sticker · Mythical$11.5616.51 coins$18.2126.02 coins1.58x
Sticker | Flame Tier6 (Holo)sticker · Mythical$11.5616.51 coins$18.2126.02 coins1.58x
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classifiedBig yahu$11.5616.51 coins$1.111.58 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.5616.51 coins$1.111.58 coins0.10x
Sticker | Flame Tier6 (Holo)sticker · Mythical$11.5616.51 coins$18.2126.02 coins1.58x
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.5616.51 coins$1.111.58 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.5616.51 coins$1.111.58 coins0.10x
Sticker | Flame Tier6 (Holo)sticker · Mythical$11.5616.51 coins$18.2126.02 coins1.58x
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified$11.5616.51 coins$1.111.58 coins0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —