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Meadows

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$173.56
248 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.77%
572 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
54 openings · below min
7 days
475 openings · below min
30 days
572 openings · below min
since tracking started
572 openings · below min
43.0%71.7%100.5%

Small sample. 572 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5467.53%±23.7—sample
7d47588.15%±11.9—sample
30d57283.77%±10.3—sample
All57283.77%±10.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$174248 coins$1,4232,033 coins8.20x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$174248 coins$1,2271,753 coins7.07x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$174248 coins$1,2271,753 coins7.07x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$174248 coins$1,2271,753 coins7.07x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert$174248 coins$9591,370 coins5.52x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$174248 coins$9391,341 coins5.41x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$174248 coins$9391,341 coins5.41x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$174248 coins$9391,341 coins5.41x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covertSmabu$174248 coins$9391,341 coins5.41x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$174248 coins$9391,341 coins5.41x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$174248 coins$85.54122 coins0.49x
★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife$174248 coins$114163 coins0.66x
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$174248 coins$21.8031.14 coins0.13x
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$174248 coins$42.3260.45 coins0.24x
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$174248 coins$21.8031.14 coins0.13x
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$174248 coins$21.8031.14 coins0.13x
★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife$174248 coins$114163 coins0.66x
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedMrTree$174248 coins$21.8031.14 coins0.13x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · classified$174248 coins$200286 coins1.15x
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$174248 coins$21.8031.14 coins0.13x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,423 (8.20x)