Measured

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.32
4.74 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.38%
2,084 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
85 openings · below min
7 days
90.97%±2.511,818 openings
30 days
90.38%±2.352,084 openings
since tracking started
90.38%±2.352,084 openings
82.0%94.5%107.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h8594.52%±12.0—sample
7d1,81890.97%±2.51—sample
30d2,08490.38%±2.35—sample
All2,08490.38%±2.35—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | POP AWP (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffJoNe$Y$3.324.74 coins$5.447.77 coins1.64x
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$3.324.74 coins$4.666.66 coins1.41x
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)weapon · restricted$3.324.74 coins$1.552.22 coins0.47x
P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$3.324.74 coins$6.999.99 coins2.11x
AWP | PAW (Factory New)weapon · restricted$3.324.74 coins$3.895.55 coins1.17x
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$3.324.74 coins$0.781.11 coins0.23x
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$3.324.74 coins$4.666.66 coins1.41x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —