Meluhdy

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$20.87

29.82 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

89.27%

81.1K openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

66.43%±18.676,760 openings

7 days

88.63%±13.0164.9K openings

30 days

89.27%±12.0381.1K openings

since tracking started

89.27%±12.0381.1K openings

47.0%74.8%102.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6,760	66.43%±18.7	—	sample
7d	64.9K	88.63%±13.0	—	sample
30d	81.1K	89.27%±12.0	—	sample
All	81.1K	89.27%±12.0	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$20.8729.82 coins$27.4K39,184 coins1,314x1d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$20.8729.82 coins$27.4K39,184 coins1,314x2d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertque pasa$20.8729.82 coins$27.4K39,184 coins1,314x3d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$20.8729.82 coins$27.4K39,184 coins1,314x3d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$20.8729.82 coins$27.4K39,184 coins1,314x4d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$20.8729.82 coins$27.4K39,184 coins1,314x6d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$20.8729.82 coins$27.4K39,184 coins1,314x7d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$20.8729.82 coins$27.4K39,184 coins1,314x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$20.8729.82 coins$0.701 coins0.03x5m

AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$20.8729.82 coins$1,2811,830 coins61.36x5m

Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$20.8729.82 coins$0.701 coins0.03x5m

Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specverve$20.8729.82 coins$0.701 coins0.03x5m

Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$20.8729.82 coins$0.701 coins0.03x5m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $27.4K (1,314x)