Mercy
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$58.32
83.31 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.96%
768 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 768 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$58.3283.31 coins$7441,063 coins12.76x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$58.3283.31 coins$7441,063 coins12.76x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$58.3283.31 coins$7441,063 coins12.76x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$58.3283.31 coins$7441,063 coins12.76x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$58.3283.31 coins$7441,063 coins12.76x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$58.3283.31 coins$7441,063 coins12.76x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$58.3283.31 coins$7441,063 coins12.76x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$58.3283.31 coins$7441,063 coins12.76x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$58.3283.31 coins$7441,063 coins12.76x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Classifiedmountain$58.3283.31 coins$41.3359.05 coins0.71x
Souvenir FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$58.3283.31 coins$41.3359.05 coins0.71x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$58.3283.31 coins$118169 coins2.03x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $744 (12.76x)