Metal Monkey
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$35.17
50.24 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
95.03%
3,309 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertR.Flashbangoneshotdeaglekill$35.1750.24 coins$1,8742,677 coins53.28x
Latest dropsnewest first
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$35.1750.24 coins$1.171.67 coins0.03x
Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$35.1750.24 coins$17.0124.3 coins0.48x
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$35.1750.24 coins$1.171.67 coins0.03x
Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classifiedkeytowin$35.1750.24 coins$56.4980.7 coins1.61x
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$35.1750.24 coins$1.171.67 coins0.03x
Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$35.1750.24 coins$17.0124.3 coins0.48x
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$35.1750.24 coins$1.171.67 coins0.03x
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$35.1750.24 coins$1.171.67 coins0.03x
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$35.1750.24 coins$1.171.67 coins0.03x
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$35.1750.24 coins$1.171.67 coins0.03x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,874 (53.28x)