Mintpod

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$14.07

20.1 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

95.23%

3,749 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

465 openings · below min

7 days

92.24%±13.953,057 openings

30 days

95.23%±13.013,749 openings

since tracking started

95.23%±13.013,749 openings

70.5%110.3%150.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	465	110.04%±39.1	—	sample
7d	3,057	92.24%±14.0	—	sample
30d	3,749	95.23%±13.0	—	sample
All	3,749	95.23%±13.0	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covertMaggus$14.0720.1 coins$7881,126 coins56.04x10h

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$14.0720.1 coins$7881,126 coins56.04x1d

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$14.0720.1 coins$7881,126 coins56.04x2d

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$14.0720.1 coins$7881,126 coins56.04x6d

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$14.0720.1 coins$7881,126 coins56.04x8d

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2$14.0720.1 coins$590843 coins41.92x2d

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2⚡NaFa$14.0720.1 coins$590843 coins41.92x4d

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2$14.0720.1 coins$590843 coins41.92x5d

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2$14.0720.1 coins$590843 coins41.92x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$14.0720.1 coins$8.5412.2 coins0.61x6m

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$14.0720.1 coins$0.420.6 coins0.03x6m

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedLUFFFFYYYYYY$14.0720.1 coins$48.7169.58 coins3.46x6m

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$14.0720.1 coins$82.25118 coins5.85x32m

FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$14.0720.1 coins$25.2336.05 coins1.79x32m

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$14.0720.1 coins$0.420.6 coins0.03x32m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $788 (56.04x)