Musical
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$29.41
42.01 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.56%
1,131 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$29.4142.01 coins$1,1051,578 coins37.57x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryFybZ$29.4142.01 coins$8021,145 coins27.27x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$29.4142.01 coins$8021,145 coins27.27x
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$29.4142.01 coins$528754 coins17.95x
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$29.4142.01 coins$528754 coins17.95x
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$29.4142.01 coins$528754 coins17.95x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Reboot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$29.4142.01 coins$1.402 coins0.05x
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Reboot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$29.4142.01 coins$1.402 coins0.05x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$29.4142.01 coins$3.515.01 coins0.12x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$29.4142.01 coins$40.9858.55 coins1.39x
Dual Berettas | Panther (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec GradeLUFFFFYYYYYY$29.4142.01 coins$1.061.51 coins0.04x
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$29.4142.01 coins$0.841.2 coins0.03x
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Reboot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$29.4142.01 coins$1.402 coins0.05x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$29.4142.01 coins$3.515.01 coins0.12x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,105 (37.57x)