Mythology

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$346.68
495 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
100.54%
615 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
104 openings · below min
7 days
591 openings · below min
30 days
615 openings · below min
since tracking started
615 openings · below min
68.0%112.3%156.5%

Small sample. 615 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h104112.33%±43.6—sample
7d591100.74%±20.1—sample
30d615100.54%±19.5—sample
All615100.54%±19.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertshisui$347495 coins$9,09612,995 coins26.24x
AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$347495 coins$7,87111,245 coins22.70x
AWP | Gungnir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$347495 coins$7,87111,245 coins22.70x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$347495 coins$5,4157,736 coins15.62x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$347495 coins$5,4157,736 coins15.62x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$347495 coins$5,4157,736 coins15.62x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$347495 coins$5,4157,736 coins15.62x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertFybZ$347495 coins$4,2516,073 coins12.26x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$347495 coins$4,2516,073 coins12.26x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$347495 coins$4,2516,073 coins12.26x

Latest dropsnewest first

Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New)weapon · classified$347495 coins$2,2763,252 coins6.57x
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$347495 coins$87.11124 coins0.25x
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$347495 coins$87.11124 coins0.25x
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$347495 coins$87.11124 coins0.25x
Negev | Mjölnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$347495 coins$1,0261,466 coins2.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertFybZ$347495 coins$4,2516,073 coins12.26x
AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$347495 coins$166236 coins0.48x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$347495 coins$1,6002,285 coins4.61x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$347495 coins$1,6002,285 coins4.61x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,096 (26.24x)