Obie

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$49.77

71.1 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

89.90%

3,701 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

372 openings · below min

7 days

85.78%±14.813,137 openings

30 days

89.90%±13.843,701 openings

since tracking started

89.90%±13.843,701 openings

57.5%127.5%197.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	372	127.58%±69.4	—	sample
7d	3,137	85.78%±14.8	—	sample
30d	3,701	89.90%±13.8	—	sample
All	3,701	89.90%±13.8	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$49.7771.1 coins$4,8096,869 coins96.62x14h

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$49.7771.1 coins$3,8595,513 coins77.54x12h

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$49.7771.1 coins$3,8595,513 coins77.54x1d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$49.7771.1 coins$2,8524,074 coins57.30x2d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$49.7771.1 coins$2,8524,074 coins57.30x5d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$49.7771.1 coins$2,8524,074 coins57.30x6d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$49.7771.1 coins$2,8524,074 coins57.30x7d

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$49.7771.1 coins$2,8524,074 coins57.30x8d

AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · coverthecatonquiro$49.7771.1 coins$2,2943,277 coins46.08x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$49.7771.1 coins$0.520.75 coins0.01x9m

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · blue$49.7771.1 coins$1.582.25 coins0.03x9m

MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$49.7771.1 coins$0.520.75 coins0.01x9m

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · blueshisui$49.7771.1 coins$1.582.25 coins0.03x9m

MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$49.7771.1 coins$0.520.75 coins0.01x10m

MAG-7 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedshisui$49.7771.1 coins$0.520.75 coins0.01x10m

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · blue$49.7771.1 coins$1.582.25 coins0.03x12m

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$49.7771.1 coins$2.483.54 coins0.05x12m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,809 (96.62x)