Octo

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$62.22

88.88 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

97.93%

1,634 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

234 openings · below min

7 days

103.25%±18.771,429 openings

30 days

97.93%±16.761,634 openings

since tracking started

97.93%±16.761,634 openings

80.5%141.5%202.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	234	142.84%±58.8	—	sample
7d	1,429	103.25%±18.8	—	sample
30d	1,634	97.93%±16.8	—	sample
All	1,634	97.93%±16.8	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$62.2288.88 coins$2,0842,977 coins33.50x17h

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$62.2288.88 coins$2,0842,977 coins33.50x1d

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1$62.2288.88 coins$2,0842,977 coins33.50x3d

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$62.2288.88 coins$1,8152,592 coins29.17x16h

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$62.2288.88 coins$1,8152,592 coins29.17x17h

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$62.2288.88 coins$1,8152,592 coins29.17x2d

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$62.2288.88 coins$1,8152,592 coins29.17x3d

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyEspião$62.2288.88 coins$1,8152,592 coins29.17x4d

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert$62.2288.88 coins$1,5022,146 coins24.14x17h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$62.2288.88 coins$0.270.39 coins0.00x47m

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$62.2288.88 coins$2.103 coins0.03x47m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$62.2288.88 coins$0.270.39 coins0.00x47m

StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · pink$62.2288.88 coins$5.668.08 coins0.09x47m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$62.2288.88 coins$0.270.39 coins0.00x47m

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient$62.2288.88 coins$106152 coins1.71x47m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$62.2288.88 coins$0.270.39 coins0.00x47m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn)weapon · RestrictedROBO VERS$62.2288.88 coins$0.270.39 coins0.00x47m

Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$62.2288.88 coins$62.9689.95 coins1.01x50m

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$62.2288.88 coins$0.270.39 coins0.00x50m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,084 (33.50x)