Only AK's

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$50.71
72.44 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.62%
423 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
26 openings · below min
7 days
172 openings · below min
30 days
423 openings · below min
since tracking started
423 openings · below min
25.5%73.3%121.0%

Small sample. 423 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2663.44%±37.1—sample
7d17274.31%±21.7—sample
30d42398.62%±21.9—sample
All42398.62%±21.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$50.7172.44 coins$8271,181 coins16.31x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$50.7172.44 coins$0.560.8 coins0.01x
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$50.7172.44 coins$0.560.8 coins0.01x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · rare$50.7172.44 coins$96.59138 coins1.90x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · rare$50.7172.44 coins$96.59138 coins1.90x
Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$50.7172.44 coins$25.7036.72 coins0.51x
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$50.7172.44 coins$38.7855.4 coins0.76x
Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$50.7172.44 coins$25.7036.72 coins0.51x
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$50.7172.44 coins$0.560.8 coins0.01x
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$50.7172.44 coins$0.560.8 coins0.01x
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$50.7172.44 coins$0.560.8 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,689 (33.30x)