Only Gems
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$984.66
1,407 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
74.75%
198 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 198 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · SapphireLobanjica$9851,407 coins$10.7K15,280 coins10.86x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$9851,407 coins$10.6K15,084 coins10.72x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$9851,407 coins$8,39211,989 coins8.52x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald$9851,407 coins$7,98811,411 coins8.11x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald$9851,407 coins$7,98811,411 coins8.11x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$9851,407 coins$7,47310,676 coins7.59x
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$9851,407 coins$3,8815,544 coins3.94x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$9851,407 coins$3,5315,044 coins3.59x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$9851,407 coins$3,5315,044 coins3.59x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$9851,407 coins$3,5315,044 coins3.59x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$9851,407 coins$2,5493,641 coins2.59x
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$9851,407 coins$7411,058 coins0.75x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $10.7K (10.86x)