Price
$507.18
725 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
79.38%
238 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 238 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classifiedtwitch.tv/MrBarnee$507725 coins$2,9064,151 coins5.73x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$507725 coins$2,4683,526 coins4.87x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$507725 coins$484692 coins0.95x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $4,182 (8.25x)