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A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$37.64
53.77 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
79.52%
2,144 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covertM3TADON$37.6453.77 coins$1,9502,786 coins51.82x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$37.6453.77 coins$1,9232,746 coins51.08x
★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryThe Professional$37.6453.77 coins$1,5322,189 coins40.71x
★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$37.6453.77 coins$1,3231,891 coins35.16x
★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$37.6453.77 coins$1,3231,891 coins35.16x
★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryM3TADON$37.6453.77 coins$1,3231,891 coins35.16x
★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$37.6453.77 coins$1,3231,891 coins35.16x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$37.6453.77 coins$1.692.41 coins0.04x
StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$37.6453.77 coins$1.692.41 coins0.04x
StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$37.6453.77 coins$1.692.41 coins0.04x
StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythicalkeytowin$37.6453.77 coins$1.692.41 coins0.04x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$37.6453.77 coins$4.256.07 coins0.11x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,950 (51.82x)