Precision
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$49.50
70.71 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.38%
590 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 590 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$49.5070.71 coins$8071,153 coins16.31x
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$49.5070.71 coins$679970 coins13.72x
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertMr.J$49.5070.71 coins$679970 coins13.72x
StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$49.5070.71 coins$567811 coins11.46x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$49.5070.71 coins$46.1465.92 coins0.93x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $807 (16.31x)