Quantum

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$1,629.59

2,328 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

98.21%

87 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

87 openings · below min

30 days

87 openings · below min

since tracking started

87 openings · below min

10.5%128.3%246.0%

Small sample. 87 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	128.46%±117.1	—	sample
7d	87	98.21%±31.7	—	sample
30d	87	98.21%±31.7	—	sample
All	87	98.21%±31.7	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl$1,6302,328 coins$13.7K19,590 coins8.42x5d

AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,6302,328 coins$11.4K16,238 coins6.98x4d

AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,6302,328 coins$11.4K16,238 coins6.98x5d

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covertswerve$1,6302,328 coins$6,7869,695 coins4.16x7m

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$1,6302,328 coins$6,7869,695 coins4.16x4d

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · coverttwitch.tv/MrBarnee$1,6302,328 coins$6,7869,695 coins4.16x5d

Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · coverttwitch.tv/MrBarnee$1,6302,328 coins$2,9474,210 coins1.81x4d

Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,6302,328 coins$2,9474,210 coins1.81x4d

Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,6302,328 coins$2,9474,210 coins1.81x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$1,6302,328 coins$1,6112,302 coins0.99x7m

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$1,6302,328 coins$0.841.2 coins0.00x7m

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$1,6302,328 coins$1,6112,302 coins0.99x7m

AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,6302,328 coins$9391,342 coins0.58x7m

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covertswerve$1,6302,328 coins$6,7869,695 coins4.16x7m

XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$1,6302,328 coins$1.081.54 coins0.00x1d

★ Talon Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,6302,328 coins$1,1241,606 coins0.69x1d

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New)gloves · legendaryswerve$1,6302,328 coins$9451,349 coins0.58x1d

AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,6302,328 coins$11.4K16,238 coins6.98x4d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $13.7K (8.42x)