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Raw

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$145.72
208 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
107.42%
2,052 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
377 openings · below min
7 days
107.11%±24.841,876 openings
30 days
107.42%±24.642,052 openings
since tracking started
107.42%±24.642,052 openings
73.0%144.8%216.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h377144.63%±71.1—sample
7d1,876107.11%±24.8—sample
30d2,052107.42%±24.6—sample
All2,052107.42%±24.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryKickMisfitMason$146208 coins$14.4K20,589 coins98.90x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$146208 coins$14.4K20,589 coins98.90x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$146208 coins$12.8K18,243 coins87.64x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$146208 coins$12.8K18,243 coins87.64x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$146208 coins$12.8K18,243 coins87.64x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$146208 coins$12.8K18,243 coins87.64x
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)gloves · legendary$146208 coins$6,9019,859 coins47.36x
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)gloves · legendaryich hab kleine d$146208 coins$6,9019,859 coins47.36x
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)gloves · legendary$146208 coins$6,9019,859 coins47.36x
★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryich hab kleine d$146208 coins$2,7833,976 coins19.10x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$146208 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$146208 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$146208 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$146208 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$146208 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covertTHEZYDAS$146208 coins$128182 coins0.88x
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$146208 coins$240343 coins1.65x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$146208 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rare$146208 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Rarebradbeloved$146208 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $14.4K (98.90x)