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Rug

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$11.45
16.35 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.14%
912 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
64 openings · below min
7 days
739 openings · below min
30 days
912 openings · below min
since tracking started
912 openings · below min
41.0%73.0%105.0%

Small sample. 912 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6472.96%±31.4—sample
7d73990.65%±9.80—sample
30d91288.14%±8.70—sample
All91288.14%±8.70—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Negev | dev_texture (Factory New)weapon · violet$11.4516.35 coins$1.412.01 coins0.12x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$11.4516.35 coins$3.535.05 coins0.31x
Sealed Graffiti | Question Mark (Dust Brown)graffiti · Base Grade$11.4516.35 coins$0.210.3 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ P250 | Red Rock (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$11.4516.35 coins$11.2016 coins0.98x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$11.4516.35 coins$8.4312.04 coins0.74x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$11.4516.35 coins$3.535.05 coins0.31x
Sealed Graffiti | Question Mark (Dust Brown)graffiti · Base Grade$11.4516.35 coins$0.210.3 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$11.4516.35 coins$8.4312.04 coins0.74x
Sealed Graffiti | Backstab (Dust Brown)graffiti · Base Grade$11.4516.35 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$11.4516.35 coins$3.535.05 coins0.31x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —