Price
$55.93
79.9 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
106.23%
1,071 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$55.9379.9 coins$1,6412,345 coins29.34x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classifiedSB...hitman$55.9379.9 coins$57.5982.27 coins1.03x
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert$55.9379.9 coins$25.9137.02 coins0.46x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,299 (41.11x)