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Schrödinger

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6.72
9.6 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.33%
31.9K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
96.28%±15.983,307 openings
7 days
92.77%±5.3627.5K openings
30 days
94.33%±5.0531.9K openings
since tracking started
94.33%±5.0531.9K openings
79.5%96.2%113.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3,30796.28%±16.0—sample
7d27.5K92.77%±5.36—sample
30d31.9K94.33%±5.05—sample
All31.9K94.33%±5.05—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertKermol$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertsinner$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6.729.6 coins$345493 coins51.37x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedHolo-.-$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$6.729.6 coins$0.701 coins0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $345 (51.37x)