Scrambled

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$68.19
97.41 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.51%
910 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
45 openings · below min
7 days
612 openings · below min
30 days
910 openings · below min
since tracking started
910 openings · below min
52.5%96.5%140.5%

Small sample. 910 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4596.41%±43.3—sample
7d61279.41%±14.0—sample
30d91085.51%±11.8—sample
All91085.51%±11.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert$68.1997.41 coins$7951,135 coins11.65x
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert$68.1997.41 coins$7951,135 coins11.65x
★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$68.1997.41 coins$574819 coins8.41x
★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$68.1997.41 coins$574819 coins8.41x
★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$68.1997.41 coins$574819 coins8.41x
★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$68.1997.41 coins$574819 coins8.41x
★ Flip Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$68.1997.41 coins$510728 coins7.47x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$68.1997.41 coins$286408 coins4.19x
★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · Covert$68.1997.41 coins$385550 coins5.64x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Base Grade$68.1997.41 coins$0.320.45 coins0.00x
Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested)weapon · violetHeaded$68.1997.41 coins$1.502.14 coins0.02x
MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)weapon · restricted$68.1997.41 coins$113162 coins1.66x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,036 (15.20x)