Seasonal

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$10.94
15.63 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.95%
828 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
67 openings · below min
7 days
603 openings · below min
30 days
828 openings · below min
since tracking started
828 openings · below min
49.0%104.3%159.5%

Small sample. 828 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h67104.16%±54.5—sample
7d60385.74%±13.7—sample
30d82887.95%±12.4—sample
All82887.95%±12.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$10.9415.63 coins$1.522.17 coins0.14x
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Field-Tested)weapon · blue$10.9415.63 coins$1.121.6 coins0.10x
XM1014 | Seasons (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$10.9415.63 coins$1.131.61 coins0.10x
Galil AR | Winter Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$10.9415.63 coins$7.9611.37 coins0.73x
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$10.9415.63 coins$1.522.17 coins0.14x
MP9 | Dry Season (Factory New)weapon · consumermaha-328f26$10.9415.63 coins$49.9671.37 coins4.57x
MP9 | Dry Season (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$10.9415.63 coins$4.446.35 coins0.41x
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Field-Tested)weapon · blue$10.9415.63 coins$1.121.6 coins0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —