Sharkbite

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$10.33

14.75 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

88.56%

9,103 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

71.27%±25.891,212 openings

7 days

80.06%±11.677,239 openings

30 days

88.56%±11.989,103 openings

since tracking started

88.56%±11.989,103 openings

44.5%72.8%101.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,212	71.27%±25.9	—	sample
7d	7,239	80.06%±11.7	—	sample
30d	9,103	88.56%±12.0	—	sample
All	9,103	88.56%±12.0	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$10.3314.75 coins$1,4972,138 coins145.0x13h

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$10.3314.75 coins$1,4972,138 coins145.0x2d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$10.3314.75 coins$1,4972,138 coins145.0x3d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$10.3314.75 coins$1,4972,138 coins145.0x4d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covertKatsu$10.3314.75 coins$1,4972,138 coins145.0x5d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$10.3314.75 coins$1,4972,138 coins145.0x7d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covertPumBa$10.3314.75 coins$1,4972,138 coins145.0x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$10.3314.75 coins$0.560.8 coins0.05x6m

Sticker | Ocean Sunset Stabbyfishsticker · high$10.3314.75 coins$0.220.32 coins0.02x6m

Sticker | Great Wave (Foil)sticker · exotic$10.3314.75 coins$16.7623.94 coins1.62x6m

Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$10.3314.75 coins$0.560.8 coins0.05x6m

SG 553 | Wave Spray (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ffreturn$10.3314.75 coins$13.5719.38 coins1.31x6m

Sticker | Ocean Sunset Stabbyfishsticker · high$10.3314.75 coins$0.220.32 coins0.02x13m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,497 (145.0x)