Shattered

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$39.77
56.81 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.47%
398 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
40 openings · below min
7 days
280 openings · below min
30 days
398 openings · below min
since tracking started
398 openings · below min
59.0%128.8%198.5%

Small sample. 398 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h40128.79%±69.0—sample
7d28099.31%±22.1—sample
30d39893.47%±17.6—sample
All39893.47%±17.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$39.7756.81 coins$6.549.34 coins0.16x
USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$39.7756.81 coins$6.549.34 coins0.16x
USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$39.7756.81 coins$6.549.34 coins0.16x
USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$39.7756.81 coins$6.549.34 coins0.16x
USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$39.7756.81 coins$6.549.34 coins0.16x
USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$39.7756.81 coins$6.549.34 coins0.16x
USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$39.7756.81 coins$6.549.34 coins0.16x
M4A4 | The Coalition (Minimal Wear)weapon · #eb4b4b$39.7756.81 coins$53.3876.25 coins1.34x
USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$39.7756.81 coins$6.549.34 coins0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —