Shiny Ornament

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.37
0.53 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
107.27%
116K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
144.85%±105.2116.5K openings
7 days
117.09%±35.3491.5K openings
30 days
107.27%±30.11116K openings
since tracking started
107.27%±30.11116K openings
39.0%144.8%250.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h16.5K144.85%±105.2—sample
7d91.5K117.09%±35.3—sample
30d116K107.27%±30.1—sample
All116K107.27%±30.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$0.370.53 coins$1,8392,627 coins4,956x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$0.370.53 coins$1,8392,627 coins4,956x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$0.370.53 coins$1,8392,627 coins4,956x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$0.370.53 coins$1,8392,627 coins4,956x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$0.370.53 coins$1,8392,627 coins4,956x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$0.370.53 coins$1,2011,715 coins3,236x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$0.370.53 coins$1,2011,715 coins3,236x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$0.370.53 coins$1,2011,715 coins3,236x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$0.370.53 coins$1,2011,715 coins3,236x
★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$0.370.53 coins$1,2011,715 coins3,236x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x
Sealed Graffiti | 8-Ball (Blood Red)graffiti · Base Grade$0.370.53 coins$0.010.02 coins0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,839 (4,956x)