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Shwifty

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$72.34
103 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.45%
809 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
80 openings · below min
7 days
668 openings · below min
30 days
809 openings · below min
since tracking started
809 openings · below min
42.5%76.3%110.0%

Small sample. 809 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h8076.28%±33.1—sample
7d66891.98%±13.1—sample
30d80992.45%±11.9—sample
All80992.45%±11.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$72.34103 coins$534763 coins7.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryMr.Köster$72.34103 coins$534763 coins7.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$72.34103 coins$534763 coins7.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$72.34103 coins$534763 coins7.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$72.34103 coins$534763 coins7.39x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$72.34103 coins$534763 coins7.39x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)weapon · covert$72.34103 coins$118168 coins1.63x
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$72.34103 coins$0.961.37 coins0.01x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · classified$72.34103 coins$112161 coins1.55x
USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedswerve$72.34103 coins$3.505 coins0.05x
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$72.34103 coins$0.961.37 coins0.01x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)weapon · covert$72.34103 coins$118168 coins1.63x
USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$72.34103 coins$3.505 coins0.05x
MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink$72.34103 coins$1.331.9 coins0.02x
USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$72.34103 coins$3.505 coins0.05x
MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pinkFybZ$72.34103 coins$1.331.9 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $534 (7.39x)