Sleighed
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$777.78
1,111 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
95.30%
162 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 162 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$7781,111 coins$12.2K17,432 coins15.69x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$7781,111 coins$12.2K17,432 coins15.69x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$7781,111 coins$1,6962,423 coins2.18x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$7781,111 coins$1,6962,423 coins2.18x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$7781,111 coins$1,6962,423 coins2.18x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$7781,111 coins$1,6962,423 coins2.18x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$7781,111 coins$1,6962,423 coins2.18x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$7781,111 coins$1,6962,423 coins2.18x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunnyPalm Beach Pete$7781,111 coins$1,2221,746 coins1.57x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$7781,111 coins$354505 coins0.45x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$7781,111 coins$354505 coins0.45x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$7781,111 coins$354505 coins0.45x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$7781,111 coins$699998 coins0.90x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$7781,111 coins$1,6962,423 coins2.18x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knifePalm Beach Pete$7781,111 coins$354505 coins0.45x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$7781,111 coins$354505 coins0.45x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $12.2K (15.69x)