Smack

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$65.32

93.32 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

79.57%

1,516 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

137 openings · below min

7 days

79.77%±14.291,095 openings

30 days

79.57%±12.341,516 openings

since tracking started

79.57%±12.341,516 openings

38.0%68.3%98.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	137	68.27%±29.8	—	sample
7d	1,095	79.77%±14.3	—	sample
30d	1,516	79.57%±12.3	—	sample
All	1,516	79.57%±12.3	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire$65.3293.32 coins$1,7842,548 coins27.31x5d

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire$65.3293.32 coins$1,7842,548 coins27.31x6d

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire$65.3293.32 coins$1,7842,548 coins27.31x7d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$65.3293.32 coins$1,4932,132 coins22.85x2d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covertrobmayne$65.3293.32 coins$1,4932,132 coins22.85x5d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$65.3293.32 coins$1,4932,132 coins22.85x6d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$65.3293.32 coins$1,4932,132 coins22.85x7d

AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$65.3293.32 coins$1,4932,132 coins22.85x8d

★ Karambit | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$65.3293.32 coins$667954 coins10.22x2h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable$65.3293.32 coins$2.884.11 coins0.04x42m

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$65.3293.32 coins$19.1727.38 coins0.29x42m

Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable$65.3293.32 coins$2.884.11 coins0.04x42m

Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$65.3293.32 coins$8.7612.51 coins0.13x42m

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)weapon · restricted$65.3293.32 coins$1.041.48 coins0.02x42m

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedLIVE: kick.com/lepajee$65.3293.32 coins$19.1727.38 coins0.29x42m

Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter)sticker · remarkable$65.3293.32 coins$2.884.11 coins0.04x45m

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$65.3293.32 coins$19.1727.38 coins0.29x45m

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)weapon · restricted$65.3293.32 coins$1.041.48 coins0.02x45m

AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified$65.3293.32 coins$4.516.44 coins0.07x45m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,784 (27.31x)