Snowball

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.47
0.67 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.76%
20.8K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
78.73%±19.262,177 openings
7 days
99.72%±20.3216.3K openings
30 days
93.76%±16.2020.8K openings
since tracking started
93.76%±16.2020.8K openings
59.0%89.8%120.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,17778.73%±19.3—sample
7d16.3K99.72%±20.3—sample
30d20.8K93.76%±16.2—sample
All20.8K93.76%±16.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$0.470.67 coins$341488 coins728.1x
AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$0.470.67 coins$85.04121 coins181.3x
AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$0.470.67 coins$85.04121 coins181.3x
AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$0.470.67 coins$85.04121 coins181.3x
AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$0.470.67 coins$85.04121 coins181.3x
AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$0.470.67 coins$85.04121 coins181.3x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · Remarkable$0.470.67 coins$0.120.17 coins0.25x
Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · Remarkable$0.470.67 coins$0.120.17 coins0.25x
Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · Remarkable$0.470.67 coins$0.120.17 coins0.25x
Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · Remarkable$0.470.67 coins$0.120.17 coins0.25x
Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · Remarkable$0.470.67 coins$0.120.17 coins0.25x
Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · Remarkable$0.470.67 coins$0.120.17 coins0.25x
Sticker | rain (Glitter) | Rio 2022sticker · Remarkable$0.470.67 coins$0.120.17 coins0.25x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $409 (871.3x)