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Soggy Swamp

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.81
4.02 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.82%
9,309 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
80.99%±16.391,416 openings
7 days
85.10%±8.147,476 openings
30 days
87.82%±7.579,309 openings
since tracking started
87.82%±7.579,309 openings
64.0%81.0%98.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,41680.99%±16.4—sample
7d7,47685.10%±8.14—sample
30d9,30987.82%±7.57—sample
All9,30987.82%±7.57—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.814.02 coins$165235 coins58.48x
Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.814.02 coins$165235 coins58.48x
Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.814.02 coins$165235 coins58.48x
Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.814.02 coins$165235 coins58.48x
Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.814.02 coins$165235 coins58.48x
Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial GradeKirito89$2.814.02 coins$165235 coins58.48x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
USP-S | Overgrowth (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$2.814.02 coins$19.9028.43 coins7.07x
SG 553 | Gator Mesh (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$2.814.02 coins$13.4219.17 coins4.77x
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2.814.02 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2.814.02 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2.814.02 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2.814.02 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
Souvenir USP-S | Forest Leaves (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · industrial$2.814.02 coins$33.1047.28 coins11.76x
PP-Bizon | Forest Leaves (Well-Worn)weapon · Consumer Grade$2.814.02 coins$3.484.97 coins1.24x
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2.814.02 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2.814.02 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $165 (58.48x)