Souls

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$142.81

204 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

93.86%

328 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

42 openings · below min

7 days

225 openings · below min

30 days

328 openings · below min

since tracking started

328 openings · below min

53.5%82.3%111.0%

Small sample. 328 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	42	81.98%±28.0	—	sample
7d	225	84.94%±16.9	—	sample
30d	328	93.86%±16.3	—	sample
All	328	93.86%±16.3	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restrictedSB...hitman$143204 coins$2,1073,010 coins14.75x7d

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2swerve$143204 coins$1,1381,626 coins7.97x2d

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2$143204 coins$1,1381,626 coins7.97x3d

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2$143204 coins$1,1381,626 coins7.97x6d

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2DameTime619$143204 coins$1,1381,626 coins7.97x6d

★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$143204 coins$7341,048 coins5.14x3d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$143204 coins$644920 coins4.51x1d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendaryich hab kleine d$143204 coins$644920 coins4.51x6d

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$143204 coins$644920 coins4.51x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Violent Violet)graffiti · common$143204 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x1h

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$143204 coins$132189 coins0.92x1h

USP-S | Target Acquired (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$143204 coins$204291 coins1.43x1h

Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Violent Violet)graffiti · common$143204 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x1h

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$143204 coins$132189 coins0.92x1h

AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$143204 coins$265379 coins1.86x1h

Sealed Graffiti | Cocky (Violent Violet)graffiti · common$143204 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x1h

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertTivuhwrldlovesbbc$143204 coins$66.5895.12 coins0.47x1h

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$143204 coins$81.34116 coins0.57x1h

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$143204 coins$66.5895.12 coins0.47x1h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,107 (14.75x)