Soup
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$25.07
35.82 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.14%
7,222 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$25.0735.82 coins$2,4313,473 coins96.95x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$25.0735.82 coins$2,4313,473 coins96.95x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertBiggie$25.0735.82 coins$2,4313,473 coins96.95x
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$25.0735.82 coins$1,6672,381 coins66.48x
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$25.0735.82 coins$1,6672,381 coins66.48x
★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary𝕯𝖊𝖆𝖘𝖙𝕸𝖔𝖓$25.0735.82 coins$1,6672,381 coins66.48x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedГЕНЕРАЛ КУНИ$25.0735.82 coins$8051,151 coins32.12x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$25.0735.82 coins$622889 coins24.82x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$25.0735.82 coins$622889 coins24.82x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$25.0735.82 coins$2.253.21 coins0.09x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covertBig yahu$25.0735.82 coins$61.8288.31 coins2.47x
Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$25.0735.82 coins$2.253.21 coins0.09x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert$25.0735.82 coins$98.63141 coins3.93x
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$25.0735.82 coins$38.8355.47 coins1.55x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,431 (96.95x)