Sphinx

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$208.26
298 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.28%
3,794 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
476 openings · below min
7 days
93.26%±11.273,089 openings
30 days
94.28%±10.343,794 openings
since tracking started
94.28%±10.343,794 openings
64.0%93.5%123.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h47693.68%±28.8—sample
7d3,08993.26%±11.3—sample
30d3,79494.28%±10.3—sample
All3,79494.28%±10.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$208298 coins$4,1585,939 coins19.96x

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$208298 coins$2.253.22 coins0.01x
P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$208298 coins$2.253.22 coins0.01x
P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$208298 coins$2.253.22 coins0.01x
P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$208298 coins$2.253.22 coins0.01x
P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$208298 coins$2.253.22 coins0.01x
P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$208298 coins$2.253.22 coins0.01x
P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$208298 coins$2.253.22 coins0.01x
P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$208298 coins$2.253.22 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,158 (19.96x)