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Spoils of War

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$120.88
173 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
109.27%
520 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
85 openings · below min
7 days
432 openings · below min
30 days
520 openings · below min
since tracking started
520 openings · below min
59.5%129.8%200.0%

Small sample. 520 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h85129.89%±69.6—sample
7d432112.69%±21.3—sample
30d520109.27%±18.0—sample
All520109.27%±18.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$121173 coins$3,4964,994 coins28.92x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert$121173 coins$3,4964,994 coins28.92x
★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · CovertKick/TheGodMode$121173 coins$1,0841,548 coins8.97x
★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)knife · Covert$121173 coins$1,0841,548 coins8.97x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$121173 coins$7641,092 coins6.32x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$121173 coins$7641,092 coins6.32x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertMaikelele$121173 coins$7641,092 coins6.32x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$121173 coins$7641,092 coins6.32x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$121173 coins$7641,092 coins6.32x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$121173 coins$7641,092 coins6.32x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$121173 coins$124177 coins1.03x
★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$121173 coins$339484 coins2.80x
Sticker | Bananasticker · #4b69ff$121173 coins$1.742.48 coins0.01x
Souvenir P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$121173 coins$167238 coins1.38x
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$121173 coins$124177 coins1.03x
Sticker | Bananasticker · #4b69ff$121173 coins$1.742.48 coins0.01x
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$121173 coins$124177 coins1.03x
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$121173 coins$124177 coins1.03x
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covertich hab kleine d$121173 coins$124177 coins1.03x
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$121173 coins$124177 coins1.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,496 (28.92x)