Spray n' Pray

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$45.75
65.36 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.49%
402 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
292 openings · below min
30 days
402 openings · below min
since tracking started
402 openings · below min
-0.5%60.8%122.0%

Small sample. 402 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h445.85%±56.2—sample
7d29297.71%±23.4—sample
30d40293.49%±19.3—sample
All40293.49%±19.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$45.7565.36 coins$637911 coins13.93x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$45.7565.36 coins$637911 coins13.93x

Latest dropsnewest first

AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$45.7565.36 coins$0.831.18 coins0.02x
P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$45.7565.36 coins$56.0180.01 coins1.22x
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$45.7565.36 coins$0.831.18 coins0.02x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Factory New)weapon · industrialTemu$45.7565.36 coins$26.2537.5 coins0.57x
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$45.7565.36 coins$0.831.18 coins0.02x
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec$45.7565.36 coins$0.831.18 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $637 (13.93x)