Springtime

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$11.68
16.68 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
96.52%
3,568 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
364 openings · below min
7 days
88.66%±15.972,674 openings
30 days
96.52%±14.443,568 openings
since tracking started
96.52%±14.443,568 openings
50.5%94.2%138.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h36494.25%±42.9—sample
7d2,67488.66%±16.0—sample
30d3,56896.52%±14.4—sample
All3,56896.52%±14.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$553790 coins47.34x
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$553790 coins47.34x
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$553790 coins47.34x
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$553790 coins47.34x
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$553790 coins47.34x
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$553790 coins47.34x

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$0.320.45 coins0.03x
AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$0.320.45 coins0.03x
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$1.572.24 coins0.13x
AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$0.320.45 coins0.03x
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$2.603.71 coins0.22x
AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$11.6816.68 coins$0.320.45 coins0.03x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · pink$11.6816.68 coins$4.967.08 coins0.42x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · pink$11.6816.68 coins$4.967.08 coins0.42x
StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$11.6816.68 coins$15.6222.32 coins1.34x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $553 (47.34x)