Steamed

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$161.78
231 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.56%
1,801 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
169 openings · below min
7 days
86.63%±14.231,284 openings
30 days
89.56%±12.281,801 openings
since tracking started
89.56%±12.281,801 openings
48.5%94.0%139.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h16994.11%±45.0—sample
7d1,28486.63%±14.2—sample
30d1,80189.56%±12.3—sample
All1,80189.56%±12.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$162231 coins$655935 coins4.05x
Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$162231 coins$54.1977.41 coins0.33x
★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$162231 coins$155221 coins0.96x
Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$162231 coins$54.1977.41 coins0.33x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,894 (48.80x)