Stormy
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$46.21
66.02 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.67%
442 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 442 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classifiedbobshnyder$46.2166.02 coins$548783 coins11.85x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$46.2166.02 coins$507725 coins10.98x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$46.2166.02 coins$507725 coins10.98x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$46.2166.02 coins$507725 coins10.98x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$46.2166.02 coins$507725 coins10.98x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$46.2166.02 coins$507725 coins10.98x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$46.2166.02 coins$507725 coins10.98x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$46.2166.02 coins$17.7625.37 coins0.38x
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New)weapon · industrial$46.2166.02 coins$24.2034.57 coins0.52x
Souvenir SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$46.2166.02 coins$17.7625.37 coins0.38x
Souvenir SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · consumer$46.2166.02 coins$17.7625.37 coins0.38x
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New)weapon · industrial$46.2166.02 coins$24.2034.57 coins0.52x
MAG-7 | Storm (Factory New)weapon · Consumer GradeKickMisfitMason$46.2166.02 coins$10.1614.52 coins0.22x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary$46.2166.02 coins$54.5477.92 coins1.18x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $567 (12.28x)