Sunrise

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.80
2.57 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.00%
23.2K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90.61%±17.742,162 openings
7 days
92.14%±6.5518.5K openings
30 days
91.00%±5.7523.2K openings
since tracking started
91.00%±5.7523.2K openings
72.0%90.5%109.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,16290.61%±17.7—sample
7d18.5K92.14%±6.55—sample
30d23.2K91.00%±5.75—sample
All23.2K91.00%±5.75—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Gut Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$1.802.57 coins$209299 coins116.2x
★ Gut Knife | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$1.802.57 coins$209299 coins116.2x
MP9 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.802.57 coins$159227 coins88.46x
MP9 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.802.57 coins$159227 coins88.46x
MP9 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.802.57 coins$159227 coins88.46x
MP9 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.802.57 coins$159227 coins88.46x
MP9 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.802.57 coins$159227 coins88.46x
MP9 | Bulldozer (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.802.57 coins$159227 coins88.46x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High GradeF0gez$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High GradeF0gez$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High GradeF0gez$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x
Sticker | Bullet Rainsticker · High Grade$1.802.57 coins$0.170.25 coins0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $209 (116.2x)