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Kraken Slayer$17.1K28.47xCase Battles$2,0991.53xDragon Tower$2,62313.05xPlinko$1,2502.00xPlinko$1,2502.00xMines$2,2624.52xBuried By Night$5,052842.0xPlinko$1,2502.00xPlinko$2,5004.00xBlackjack Diamond VIP$3,2032.00xPlinko$1,2502.00xMadame Destiny Megaways$41.38114.9xPlinko$2,5004.00xSwitchcraft$8,899444.7xPlinko$2,5004.00xImmersive Roulette$65.5K5.45xFruit Party$296211.0xXXXtreme Lightning Roulette$1,3326.67xPlinko$1,2502.00xBook of Tut$109109.0xPlinko$2,5004.00xDragon Tower$2,62313.05xPlinko$2,5004.00xFortune of Olympus$47.40118.5x

Surprise

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$771.83
1,103 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.67%
200 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
80 openings · below min
30 days
200 openings · below min
since tracking started
200 openings · below min
59.5%112.3%165.0%

Small sample. 200 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d80112.29%±52.3—sample
30d20092.67%±27.0—sample
All20092.67%±27.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Extraordinary$7721,103 coins$8,41412,020 coins10.90x
Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Extraordinary$7721,103 coins$8,41412,020 coins10.90x
Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Extraordinary$7721,103 coins$8,41412,020 coins10.90x
Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Extraordinary$7721,103 coins$8,41412,020 coins10.90x
ESL One Cologne 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Packagecontainer · Souvenir$7721,103 coins$7,02510,035 coins9.10x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$7721,103 coins$6,1208,743 coins7.93x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$7721,103 coins$6,1208,743 coins7.93x
Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$7721,103 coins$4,0595,799 coins5.26x
Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$7721,103 coins$4,0595,799 coins5.26x
Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$7721,103 coins$4,0595,799 coins5.26x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6$7721,103 coins$306437 coins0.40x
MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)weapon · restricted$7721,103 coins$101144 coins0.13x
★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$7721,103 coins$1,8112,587 coins2.35x
MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)weapon · restricted$7721,103 coins$101144 coins0.13x
Sticker | coldzera (Gold) | London 2018sticker · Extraordinary$7721,103 coins$166237 coins0.21x
Sticker | coldzera (Gold) | London 2018sticker · Extraordinary$7721,103 coins$166237 coins0.21x
MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)weapon · restricted$7721,103 coins$101144 coins0.13x
SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6Palm Beach Pete$7721,103 coins$306437 coins0.40x
Sticker | coldzera (Gold) | London 2018sticker · Extraordinary$7721,103 coins$166237 coins0.21x
AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New)weapon · classified$7721,103 coins$1,3331,905 coins1.73x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $8,414 (10.90x)