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Sweet Melody

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$161.68
231 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
73.65%
408 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
47 openings · below min
7 days
297 openings · below min
30 days
408 openings · below min
since tracking started
408 openings · below min
13.5%73.0%132.5%

Small sample. 408 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4772.92%±59.0—sample
7d29773.24%±18.2—sample
30d40873.65%±16.5—sample
All40873.65%±16.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$162231 coins$2,5883,698 coins16.01x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$162231 coins$1,9802,829 coins12.25x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$162231 coins$1,4142,020 coins8.75x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$162231 coins$1,4142,020 coins8.75x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert$162231 coins$1,4142,020 coins8.75x
Sticker | NEO (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Ancient$162231 coins$1,0851,549 coins6.71x
Sticker | NEO (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Ancientw1seman$162231 coins$1,0851,549 coins6.71x
Sticker | NEO (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Ancientswerve$162231 coins$1,0851,549 coins6.71x
Sticker | NEO (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Ancient$162231 coins$1,0851,549 coins6.71x
Sticker | NEO (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · Ancientich hab kleine d$162231 coins$1,0851,549 coins6.71x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$162231 coins$2.113.01 coins0.01x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$162231 coins$164234 coins1.01x
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$162231 coins$2.113.01 coins0.01x
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$162231 coins$2.113.01 coins0.01x
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$162231 coins$2.113.01 coins0.01x
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedPerrcos$162231 coins$2.113.01 coins0.01x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$162231 coins$164234 coins1.01x
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$162231 coins$2.113.01 coins0.01x
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedFybZ$162231 coins$2.113.01 coins0.01x
Sticker | koosta | Cologne 2016sticker · High Grade$162231 coins$16.2423.2 coins0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,588 (16.01x)