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Upgrader$1,1291.76xKiller Night$2,0444.08xSalon Privé Blackjack I$12.5K2.50xBlackjack$1,1132.00xInstant Roulette$1,3364.46xCrash$1,3632.10xDynasty Speed Baccarat 10$1,5611.95xFire in the Hole 3$33.48167.4xDice$1,6002.00xDice$1,35216.50xPrive Lounge Blackjack 9$12.7K1.98xPrivé Lounge 1$4,0002.00xQueen of Halloween$2,11942.33xBig Bass BOOM$1,57731.50xJapanese Speed Baccarat E$1,3661.95xSugar Rush 1000$1,64816.46xGilded Rhino$400500.0xMoney Coming 2$2,00120.00xBones & Whiskers$64.93291.6xLotus Sic Bo$4,0042.00xBig Bass Bonanza 1000$1,2635.61xSweet Bonanza Xmas$6,0223.01xSalon Privé Blackjack I$10K2.00xHidden Pond$1,41370.64x

Sweets

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,035.52
1,479 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
74.69%
124 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
68 openings · below min
30 days
124 openings · below min
since tracking started
124 openings · below min
17.5%61.0%104.5%

Small sample. 124 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d6851.86%±33.7—sample
30d12474.69%±29.2—sample
All12474.69%±29.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$1,0361,479 coins$8,39211,989 coins8.10x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0361,479 coins$7,57010,814 coins7.31x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0361,479 coins$7,57010,814 coins7.31x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$1,0361,479 coins$7,47310,676 coins7.22x
AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn)weapon · covertDameTime619$1,0361,479 coins$6,1718,816 coins5.96x
AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$1,0361,479 coins$6,1718,816 coins5.96x
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$1,0361,479 coins$4,8966,994 coins4.73x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0361,479 coins$4,1825,975 coins4.04x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0361,479 coins$4,1825,975 coins4.04x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$1,0361,479 coins$3,7025,289 coins3.58x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$1,0361,479 coins$95.98137 coins0.09x
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$1,0361,479 coins$95.98137 coins0.09x
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$1,0361,479 coins$95.98137 coins0.09x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0361,479 coins$1,5242,177 coins1.47x
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0361,479 coins$510728 coins0.49x
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$1,0361,479 coins$95.98137 coins0.09x
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$1,0361,479 coins$95.98137 coins0.09x
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialKick.com/xck97x | CODE : CK97$1,0361,479 coins$95.98137 coins0.09x
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$1,0361,479 coins$95.98137 coins0.09x
★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,0361,479 coins$7431,061 coins0.72x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $8,392 (8.10x)